Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.024272 0.026359 0.028540 0.030993 0.033674 0.036519 0.039767
2025-07-27 0.020844 0.023853 0.027180 0.031137 0.035723 0.040882 0.047136
2025-08-03 0.018412 0.021899 0.025917 0.030902 0.036939 0.044035 0.053042
2025-08-10 0.016902 0.020744 0.025324 0.031204 0.038588 0.047591 0.059464
2025-08-17 0.015384 0.019388 0.024296 0.030788 0.039193 0.049770 0.064185
2025-08-24 0.014084 0.018166 0.023298 0.030263 0.039531 0.051525 0.068359
2025-08-31 0.013086 0.017238 0.022578 0.029999 0.040123 0.053566 0.072955
2025-09-07 0.012237 0.016434 0.021945 0.029772 0.040700 0.055562 0.077548
2025-09-14 0.011520 0.015751 0.021416 0.029627 0.041342 0.057636 0.082322
2025-09-21 0.010813 0.015032 0.020782 0.029276 0.041642 0.059205 0.086418
2025-09-28 0.010321 0.014578 0.020482 0.029364 0.042551 0.061664 0.091935
2025-10-05 0.009816 0.014073 0.020075 0.029260 0.043150 0.063674 0.096861
2025-10-12 0.009359 0.013634 0.019764 0.029320 0.044059 0.066292 0.103056
2025-10-19 0.008967 0.013269 0.019545 0.029508 0.045180 0.069314 0.110124
2025-10-26 0.008501 0.012766 0.019087 0.029295 0.045650 0.071331 0.115686
2025-11-02 0.008201 0.012494 0.018961 0.029582 0.046915 0.074666 0.123625
2025-11-09 0.007761 0.011981 0.018431 0.029189 0.047045 0.076147 0.128505
2025-11-16 0.007332 0.011462 0.017862 0.028693 0.046964 0.077257 0.132789
2025-11-23 0.006990 0.011063 0.017459 0.028444 0.047270 0.079016 0.138309
2025-11-30 0.006679 0.010698 0.017092 0.028229 0.047615 0.080847 0.144057
2025-12-07 0.006406 0.010379 0.016783 0.028093 0.048077 0.082896 0.150323
2025-12-14 0.006112 0.010013 0.016376 0.027761 0.048171 0.084285 0.155428
2025-12-21 0.005916 0.009800 0.016214 0.027844 0.049004 0.087040 0.163302